Creating Directory ~/data/ into /scratch/bp1094/secular_rep/
Creating Directory ~/plots/ into /scratch/bp1094/secular_rep/
Creating Directory ~/stan/ into /scratch/bp1094/secular_rep/
Creating Directory ~/tables/ into /scratch/bp1094/secular_rep/

List of Defined Functions :

gen.summary
drop.empty.facets
gen.stan.summary
gen.agg.trends
inv.logit
gen.posti
gen.se.lincom

(stored in object fun.names)


Preparing NES Data --------------------
Loading Cumulative Datafile ...
Loading 2016 NES ...
Appending 2016 NES to Cumulative File ...
Recoding and Renaming Variables ...
Saving Data ...
Saving Variable Information ...
Done!



Preparing GSS Data --------------------
Loading GSS Data ...
Recoding and Renaming Variables ...

Combining variables: 

abdefect
abnomore
abhlth
abpoor
abrape
absingle
abany

into one summary measure

Combining variables: 

suicide1
suicide2
suicide3
suicide4

into one summary measure
Saving Data ...
Saving Variable Information ...
Done!


Generating Dataset of %Liberal Responses ----------
Loading NES and GSS data ...
Working on NES Data ...
Working on GSS Data ...
Combining and Saving Data ...
Done!



Plotting Descriptive Trends ----------
Plotting Economic Issues ...
Plotting Civil Rights Issues ...
Plotting Moral Issues (Subset) ...
Plotting Moral Issues (All Issues) ...
Plotting Foreign Policy / Security Issues ...
Done!



Compiling STAN Models ---------------
Creating "~/models/" directory into /scratch/bp1094/secular_rep/stan/
Compiling Normal-Normal Model ...
Compiling Beta-Normal Model ...
Done!



Start Fitting Models -------------
Crearing subfolder named domain_1 into /scratch/bp1094/secular_rep/stan/
Fitting Normal-Normal model with linear time trend ( Domain = 1 )

Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



 Elapsed Time: 31.13 seconds (Warm-up)
               13.49 seconds (Sampling)
               44.62 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 31.68 seconds (Warm-up)
               16.95 seconds (Sampling)
               48.63 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 31.86 seconds (Warm-up)
               16.15 seconds (Sampling)
               48.01 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 33.08 seconds (Warm-up)
               16.9 seconds (Sampling)
               49.98 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 31.76 seconds (Warm-up)
               16.81 seconds (Sampling)
               48.57 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 33.72 seconds (Warm-up)
               16.74 seconds (Sampling)
               50.46 seconds (Total)



Done!
Model summaries are found in file linear.nn.txt
Fitting Beta-Normal model with linear time trend ( Domain = 1 )

Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



 Elapsed Time: 191.82 seconds (Warm-up)
               105 seconds (Sampling)
               296.82 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 192.1 seconds (Warm-up)
               104.95 seconds (Sampling)
               297.05 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 199.31 seconds (Warm-up)
               102.77 seconds (Sampling)
               302.08 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 199.73 seconds (Warm-up)
               104.75 seconds (Sampling)
               304.48 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 203.99 seconds (Warm-up)
               105.25 seconds (Sampling)
               309.24 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 212.67 seconds (Warm-up)
               104.51 seconds (Sampling)
               317.18 seconds (Total)



Done!
Model summaries are found in file linear.bn.txt
Fitting Normal-Normal model with quad time trend ( Domain = 1 )

Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0.01 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 100 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0.01 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 100 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



 Elapsed Time: 36.5 seconds (Warm-up)
               17.95 seconds (Sampling)
               54.45 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 38.3 seconds (Warm-up)
               19.42 seconds (Sampling)
               57.72 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 36.84 seconds (Warm-up)
               19.3 seconds (Sampling)
               56.14 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 37.84 seconds (Warm-up)
               19.64 seconds (Sampling)
               57.48 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 38.25 seconds (Warm-up)
               19.51 seconds (Sampling)
               57.76 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 38.05 seconds (Warm-up)
               19.62 seconds (Sampling)
               57.67 seconds (Total)



Done!
Model summaries are found in file quad.nn.txt
Fitting Beta-Normal model with quad time trend ( Domain = 1 )

Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!


Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[181] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[14] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[109] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0.01 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 100 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!


Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[40] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



 Elapsed Time: 209.17 seconds (Warm-up)
               107.4 seconds (Sampling)
               316.57 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 217.69 seconds (Warm-up)
               107.97 seconds (Sampling)
               325.66 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 218.63 seconds (Warm-up)
               107.34 seconds (Sampling)
               325.97 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 225.69 seconds (Warm-up)
               107.38 seconds (Sampling)
               333.07 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 234.94 seconds (Warm-up)
               107.68 seconds (Sampling)
               342.62 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 241.33 seconds (Warm-up)
               107.28 seconds (Sampling)
               348.61 seconds (Total)



Done!
Model summaries are found in file quad.bn.txt
Fitting Normal-Normal model with cubic time trend ( Domain = 1 )

Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0.01 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 100 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



 Elapsed Time: 50.19 seconds (Warm-up)
               24.32 seconds (Sampling)
               74.51 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 50.01 seconds (Warm-up)
               24.48 seconds (Sampling)
               74.49 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 51.53 seconds (Warm-up)
               24.33 seconds (Sampling)
               75.86 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 53 seconds (Warm-up)
               24.26 seconds (Sampling)
               77.26 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 52.63 seconds (Warm-up)
               24.13 seconds (Sampling)
               76.76 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 54.16 seconds (Warm-up)
               24.21 seconds (Sampling)
               78.37 seconds (Total)



Done!
Model summaries are found in file cubic.nn.txt
Fitting Beta-Normal model with cubic time trend ( Domain = 1 )
Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[12] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[40] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[12] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[59] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[40] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[124] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[58] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[26] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[26] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!


Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[14] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!


Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[40] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[12] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[27] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[110] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


Gradient evaluation took 0.01 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 100 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!


Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[12] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


Gradient evaluation took 0.01 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 100 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!


Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[12] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[14] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[14] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[13] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[58] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



 Elapsed Time: 231.62 seconds (Warm-up)
               112.7 seconds (Sampling)
               344.32 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 246.7 seconds (Warm-up)
               111.91 seconds (Sampling)
               358.61 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 248.63 seconds (Warm-up)
               111.93 seconds (Sampling)
               360.56 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 251.21 seconds (Warm-up)
               111.99 seconds (Sampling)
               363.2 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 263.32 seconds (Warm-up)
               112.12 seconds (Sampling)
               375.44 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 265.75 seconds (Warm-up)
               112.21 seconds (Sampling)
               377.96 seconds (Total)



Done!
Model summaries are found in file cubic.bn.txt
Crearing subfolder named domain_2 into /scratch/bp1094/secular_rep/stan/
Fitting Normal-Normal model with linear time trend ( Domain = 2 )

Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



 Elapsed Time: 45.2 seconds (Warm-up)
               17.02 seconds (Sampling)
               62.22 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 42.34 seconds (Warm-up)
               18.57 seconds (Sampling)
               60.91 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 45.72 seconds (Warm-up)
               17.07 seconds (Sampling)
               62.79 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 43.09 seconds (Warm-up)
               18.65 seconds (Sampling)
               61.74 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 45.55 seconds (Warm-up)
               17.18 seconds (Sampling)
               62.73 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 43.83 seconds (Warm-up)
               17.58 seconds (Sampling)
               61.41 seconds (Total)



Done!
Model summaries are found in file linear.nn.txt
Fitting Beta-Normal model with linear time trend ( Domain = 2 )

Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!


Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[496] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



 Elapsed Time: 238.72 seconds (Warm-up)
               111.54 seconds (Sampling)
               350.26 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 239.54 seconds (Warm-up)
               110.9 seconds (Sampling)
               350.44 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 248.69 seconds (Warm-up)
               111.79 seconds (Sampling)
               360.48 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 248.25 seconds (Warm-up)
               114.44 seconds (Sampling)
               362.69 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 257.15 seconds (Warm-up)
               117.53 seconds (Sampling)
               374.68 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 263.26 seconds (Warm-up)
               111.61 seconds (Sampling)
               374.87 seconds (Total)



Done!
Model summaries are found in file linear.bn.txt
Fitting Normal-Normal model with quad time trend ( Domain = 2 )

Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



 Elapsed Time: 50.88 seconds (Warm-up)
               19.98 seconds (Sampling)

               70.86 seconds (Total)
 Elapsed Time: 52.53 seconds (Warm-up)

               20.01 seconds (Sampling)
               72.54 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 52.02 seconds (Warm-up)
               20.12 seconds (Sampling)
               72.14 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 54.38 seconds (Warm-up)
               20.02 seconds (Sampling)
               74.4 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 56.1 seconds (Warm-up)
               20.32 seconds (Sampling)
               76.42 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 54.23 seconds (Warm-up)
               35.65 seconds (Sampling)
               89.88 seconds (Total)



Done!
Model summaries are found in file quad.nn.txt
Fitting Beta-Normal model with quad time trend ( Domain = 2 )

Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!


Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[60] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[9] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!


Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[60] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0.01 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 100 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0.01 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 100 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0.01 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 100 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



 Elapsed Time: 270.26 seconds (Warm-up)
               112.09 seconds (Sampling)
               382.35 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 279.97 seconds (Warm-up)
               110.52 seconds (Sampling)
               390.49 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 275.64 seconds (Warm-up)
               110.36 seconds (Sampling)
               386 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 283.39 seconds (Warm-up)
               110.17 seconds (Sampling)
               393.56 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 289.92 seconds (Warm-up)
               109.81 seconds (Sampling)
               399.73 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 294.33 seconds (Warm-up)
               111.2 seconds (Sampling)
               405.53 seconds (Total)



Done!
Model summaries are found in file quad.bn.txt
Fitting Normal-Normal model with cubic time trend ( Domain = 2 )

Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



 Elapsed Time: 75.79 seconds (Warm-up)
               24.96 seconds (Sampling)
               100.75 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 78.98 seconds (Warm-up)
               24.95 seconds (Sampling)
               103.93 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 79.13 seconds (Warm-up)
               25.98 seconds (Sampling)
               105.11 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 83.37 seconds (Warm-up)
               26.46 seconds (Sampling)
               109.83 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 81.55 seconds (Warm-up)
               36.95 seconds (Sampling)
               118.5 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 81.27 seconds (Warm-up)
               50.17 seconds (Sampling)
               131.44 seconds (Total)



Done!
Model summaries are found in file cubic.nn.txt
Fitting Beta-Normal model with cubic time trend ( Domain = 2 )
Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[9] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[110] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[370] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[192] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[108] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[76] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[128] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[9] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[109] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[167] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[34] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[9] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[60] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[167] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[43] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[9] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[9] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[25] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[91] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[9] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[76] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[34] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[91] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!


Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[52] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[34] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[76] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[68] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[308] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[433] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[108] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[60] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[107] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[127] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[240] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[25] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[17] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[109] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[9] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[76] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[25] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[76] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[108] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[332] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[126] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[158] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[127] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[25] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[34] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!


Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[52] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[110] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[128] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[17] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[25] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[52] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[157] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[108] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[34] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[128] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[158] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[110] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[25] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[9] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[157] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[169] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[25] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[34] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[157] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[52] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[68] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[9] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[25] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[25] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[397] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[108] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[76] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[108] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[9] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[25] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[60] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[52] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[180] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[25] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[25] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[9] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[128] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[52] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[192] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[25] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[52] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[169] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[76] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[128] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[76] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[397] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[25] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[34] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[25] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[43] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[240] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[127] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[60] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!


Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[25] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[34] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[9] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[25] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[76] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[192] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[9] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[60] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[52] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[25] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!


Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[127] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[52] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[34] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[345] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[60] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[52] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[60] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[76] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[52] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[108] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[110] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[109] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[25] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[9] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[60] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[9] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[52] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[76] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[34] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[9] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[128] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[192] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[76] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[109] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[25] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[25] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[108] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[110] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[127] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[109] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[109] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[25] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[81] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!


Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[192] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[368] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[60] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[17] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[108] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[60] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[192] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[76] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[34] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[52] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[9] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[25] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



 Elapsed Time: 298 seconds (Warm-up)
               114.81 seconds (Sampling)
               412.81 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 318.73 seconds (Warm-up)
               108.54 seconds (Sampling)
               427.27 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 318.72 seconds (Warm-up)
               107.4 seconds (Sampling)
               426.12 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 310.95 seconds (Warm-up)
               116.98 seconds (Sampling)
               427.93 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 322.04 seconds (Warm-up)
               109.16 seconds (Sampling)
               431.2 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 313.57 seconds (Warm-up)
               212.47 seconds (Sampling)
               526.04 seconds (Total)



Done!
Model summaries are found in file cubic.bn.txt
Crearing subfolder named domain_3 into /scratch/bp1094/secular_rep/stan/
Fitting Normal-Normal model with linear time trend ( Domain = 3 )

Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



 Elapsed Time: 174.08 seconds (Warm-up)
               78.19 seconds (Sampling)
               252.27 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 166.33 seconds (Warm-up)
               105.35 seconds (Sampling)
               271.68 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 182.5 seconds (Warm-up)
               98.55 seconds (Sampling)
               281.05 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 177.65 seconds (Warm-up)
               107.34 seconds (Sampling)
               284.99 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 173.85 seconds (Warm-up)
               110.98 seconds (Sampling)
               284.83 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 181.65 seconds (Warm-up)
               106.92 seconds (Sampling)
               288.57 seconds (Total)



Done!
Model summaries are found in file linear.nn.txt
Fitting Beta-Normal model with linear time trend ( Domain = 3 )

Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



 Elapsed Time: 1271.46 seconds (Warm-up)
               426.31 seconds (Sampling)
               1697.77 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 1088.16 seconds (Warm-up)
               713.62 seconds (Sampling)
               1801.78 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 1066.76 seconds (Warm-up)
               755.36 seconds (Sampling)
               1822.12 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 1183.85 seconds (Warm-up)
               641.06 seconds (Sampling)
               1824.91 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 1112.33 seconds (Warm-up)
               716.88 seconds (Sampling)
               1829.21 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 1170.17 seconds (Warm-up)
               766.87 seconds (Sampling)
               1937.04 seconds (Total)



Done!
Model summaries are found in file linear.bn.txt
Fitting Normal-Normal model with quad time trend ( Domain = 3 )

Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0.01 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 100 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



 Elapsed Time: 209.7 seconds (Warm-up)
               123.32 seconds (Sampling)
               333.02 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 228.08 seconds (Warm-up)
               122.99 seconds (Sampling)
               351.07 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 228.73 seconds (Warm-up)
               123.39 seconds (Sampling)
               352.12 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 230.82 seconds (Warm-up)
               123.64 seconds (Sampling)
               354.46 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 248.16 seconds (Warm-up)
               122.86 seconds (Sampling)
               371.02 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 250.77 seconds (Warm-up)
               122.72 seconds (Sampling)
               373.49 seconds (Total)



Done!
Model summaries are found in file quad.nn.txt
Fitting Beta-Normal model with quad time trend ( Domain = 3 )
Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[67] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[113] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!


Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[632] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[126] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[67] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1353] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[83] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[591] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[113] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[84] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[186] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!


Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[150] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[328] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!


Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[592] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[445] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[49] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!


Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[124] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



 Elapsed Time: 1250.77 seconds (Warm-up)
               699.58 seconds (Sampling)
               1950.35 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 1317.15 seconds (Warm-up)
               698.9 seconds (Sampling)
               2016.05 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 1309.25 seconds (Warm-up)
               705.61 seconds (Sampling)
               2014.86 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 1334.05 seconds (Warm-up)
               698.66 seconds (Sampling)
               2032.71 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 1319.55 seconds (Warm-up)
               711.94 seconds (Sampling)
               2031.49 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 1359.51 seconds (Warm-up)
               709.22 seconds (Sampling)
               2068.73 seconds (Total)



Done!
Model summaries are found in file quad.bn.txt
Fitting Normal-Normal model with cubic time trend ( Domain = 3 )

Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



 Elapsed Time: 285.75 seconds (Warm-up)
               138.14 seconds (Sampling)
               423.89 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 288.45 seconds (Warm-up)
               139.9 seconds (Sampling)
               428.35 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 290.54 seconds (Warm-up)
               140.3 seconds (Sampling)
               430.84 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 292.31 seconds (Warm-up)
               140.17 seconds (Sampling)
               432.48 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 293.61 seconds (Warm-up)
               138.28 seconds (Sampling)
               431.89 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 307.05 seconds (Warm-up)
               138.16 seconds (Sampling)
               445.21 seconds (Total)



Done!
Model summaries are found in file cubic.nn.txt
Fitting Beta-Normal model with cubic time trend ( Domain = 3 )
Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[49] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[621] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[66] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[49] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[67] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[234] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[198] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[112] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[17] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[65] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[17] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[49] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[49] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[17] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[66] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[125] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[17] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[65] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[65] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


Gradient evaluation took 0.01 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 100 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!


Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[49] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[65] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[66] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[49] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[84] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[186] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[531] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[126] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[65] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[17] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[16] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[262] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[17] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[65] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[149] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[262] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[252] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[221] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[530] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[198] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[17] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[17] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[83] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[17] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[299] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[113] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[113] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[16] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!


Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[17] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[800] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[150] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[49] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[185] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[358] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[67] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[33] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[66] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[234] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[17] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[49] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[860] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!


Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[17] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[49] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[65] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[17] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[801] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[83] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[150] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[67] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[32] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[49] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[84] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[17] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[66] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!


Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[84] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[293] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[49] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[33] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[49] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[49] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[234] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[474] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!


Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[64] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[67] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)

Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1140] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


Gradient evaluation took 0.01 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 100 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



 Elapsed Time: 1236.96 seconds (Warm-up)
               713.42 seconds (Sampling)
               1950.38 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 1264.01 seconds (Warm-up)
               712.75 seconds (Sampling)
               1976.76 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 1399.81 seconds (Warm-up)
               710.26 seconds (Sampling)
               2110.07 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 1404.83 seconds (Warm-up)
               710.72 seconds (Sampling)
               2115.55 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 1417.31 seconds (Warm-up)
               709.93 seconds (Sampling)
               2127.24 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 1430.98 seconds (Warm-up)
               709.32 seconds (Sampling)
               2140.3 seconds (Total)



Done!
Model summaries are found in file cubic.bn.txt
Crearing subfolder named domain_4 into /scratch/bp1094/secular_rep/stan/
Fitting Normal-Normal model with linear time trend ( Domain = 4 )

Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0.01 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 100 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



 Elapsed Time: 10.59 seconds (Warm-up)
               3.83 seconds (Sampling)
               14.42 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 10.54 seconds (Warm-up)
               5.05 seconds (Sampling)
               15.59 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 11.44 seconds (Warm-up)
               5.62 seconds (Sampling)
               17.06 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 11.19 seconds (Warm-up)
               5.39 seconds (Sampling)
               16.58 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 10.33 seconds (Warm-up)
               5.66 seconds (Sampling)
               15.99 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 11.67 seconds (Warm-up)
               5.43 seconds (Sampling)
               17.1 seconds (Total)



Done!
Model summaries are found in file linear.nn.txt
Fitting Beta-Normal model with linear time trend ( Domain = 4 )

Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
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 Elapsed Time: 44.73 seconds (Warm-up)
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Done!
Model summaries are found in file linear.bn.txt
Fitting Normal-Normal model with quad time trend ( Domain = 4 )

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Gradient evaluation took 0.02 seconds
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Done!
Model summaries are found in file quad.nn.txt
Fitting Beta-Normal model with quad time trend ( Domain = 4 )

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Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[123] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


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Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


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 Elapsed Time: 57.9 seconds (Warm-up)
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Done!
Model summaries are found in file quad.bn.txt
Done!

Warning messages:
1: There were 29 divergent transitions after warmup. Increasing adapt_delta above 0.8 may help. See
http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#divergent-transitions-after-warmup 
2: Examine the pairs() plot to diagnose sampling problems
 
3: There were 10 divergent transitions after warmup. Increasing adapt_delta above 0.8 may help. See
http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#divergent-transitions-after-warmup 
4: Examine the pairs() plot to diagnose sampling problems
 










Checking convergence and divergent transitions for domain 1 ... 

Rhat and effective sample sizes seem to be okay for all models.

No divergent transitions found for models in domain 1










Checking convergence and divergent transitions for domain 2 ... 

Rhat and effective sample sizes seem to be okay for all models.

No divergent transitions found for models in domain 2










Checking convergence and divergent transitions for domain 3 ... 

Rhat and effective sample sizes seem to be okay for all models.

No divergent transitions found for models in domain 3










Checking convergence and divergent transitions for domain 4 ... 

Rhat and effective sample sizes seem to be okay for all models.

Some of the chains for the following models resulted divergent transitions (Domain 4) :

	linear.nn(29),  quad.nn(10)

(Number in parentheses indicate # of div. transitions across all chains)
Refitting models with divergent transitions ...
(Models with low Neff or high Rhat are not refitted !)

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Done!
Model summaries are found in file linear.nn.refit.txt

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 Elapsed Time: 74.79 seconds (Warm-up)
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Done!
Model summaries are found in file quad.nn.refit.txt



Comparing Models with LOOIC and WAIC ...


Working on domain 1 ...
Comparing all fitted models ...
WAIC & LOOIC ------------------
          elpd_diff elpd_waic se_elpd_waic p_waic  se_p_waic waic    se_waic
quad.bn       0.0     732.3      18.4         69.3     4.8   -1464.7    36.7
cubic.bn     -2.5     729.8      17.9         75.2     5.1   -1459.6    35.9
linear.bn    -4.0     728.3      17.8         59.0     3.9   -1456.7    35.6
quad.nn     -23.3     709.1      18.8         71.8     5.0   -1418.1    37.6
cubic.nn    -26.1     706.3      18.4         78.1     5.3   -1412.5    36.8
linear.nn   -29.1     703.2      18.3         61.7     4.2   -1406.4    36.6
          elpd_diff elpd_loo se_elpd_loo p_loo   se_p_loo looic   se_looic
quad.bn       0.0     730.9     18.5        70.7     5.1  -1461.8    37.0 
linear.bn    -2.9     728.1     17.9        59.3     4.0  -1456.1    35.9 
cubic.bn     -3.6     727.3     18.1        77.7     5.4  -1454.7    36.3 
quad.nn     -24.0     707.0     19.0        73.9     5.2  -1413.9    38.0 
cubic.nn    -27.7     703.2     18.5        81.2     5.5  -1406.4    37.1 
linear.nn   -28.5     702.5     18.4        62.4     4.3  -1404.9    36.9 


Working on domain 2 ...
Comparing all fitted models ...
WAIC & LOOIC ------------------
          elpd_diff elpd_waic se_elpd_waic p_waic  se_p_waic waic    se_waic
cubic.bn      0.0     941.9      19.6         85.3     5.2   -1883.9    39.2
quad.bn     -16.1     925.9      19.2         75.0     4.9   -1851.7    38.3
cubic.nn    -29.6     912.3      20.0         88.4     5.6   -1824.6    40.0
linear.bn   -31.1     910.8      19.7         61.6     4.3   -1821.7    39.3
quad.nn     -51.1     890.8      19.5         76.6     5.1   -1781.7    39.0
linear.nn   -70.5     871.5      19.8         63.5     4.6   -1742.9    39.6
          elpd_diff elpd_loo se_elpd_loo p_loo   se_p_loo looic   se_looic
cubic.bn      0.0     937.9     19.9        89.3     5.8  -1875.9    39.8 
quad.bn     -13.7     924.2     19.4        76.6     5.3  -1848.4    38.8 
linear.bn   -26.5     911.4     19.8        61.0     4.4  -1822.8    39.6 
cubic.nn    -30.6     907.3     20.4        93.4     6.2  -1814.6    40.8 
quad.nn     -49.4     888.6     19.7        78.8     5.5  -1777.2    39.4 
linear.nn   -66.3     871.7     20.0        63.3     4.8  -1743.3    40.0 


Working on domain 3 ...
Comparing all fitted models ...
WAIC & LOOIC ------------------
          elpd_diff elpd_waic se_elpd_waic p_waic  se_p_waic waic    se_waic
cubic.bn      0.0    3819.5      39.1        228.2     9.3   -7638.9    78.2
cubic.nn    -72.7    3746.8      41.1        240.1    10.2   -7493.5    82.2
quad.bn     -93.3    3726.2      38.1        199.6     8.1   -7452.4    76.2
quad.nn    -180.1    3639.4      40.0        211.0     9.1   -7278.7    79.9
linear.bn  -311.1    3508.4      38.0        162.2     6.7   -7016.7    76.0
linear.nn  -439.4    3380.0      38.8        170.8     7.6   -6760.1    77.5
          elpd_diff elpd_loo se_elpd_loo p_loo   se_p_loo looic   se_looic
cubic.bn      0.0    3823.2     39.5       224.5    10.0  -7646.4    79.1 
cubic.nn    -74.5    3748.7     41.5       238.2    10.8  -7497.4    82.9 
quad.bn     -90.7    3732.5     38.4       193.3     8.6  -7465.0    76.9 
quad.nn    -179.0    3644.1     40.3       206.2     9.7  -7288.3    80.7 
linear.bn  -305.5    3517.7     38.2       152.9     7.0  -7035.4    76.4 
linear.nn  -435.1    3388.1     39.0       162.7     7.9  -6776.2    78.0 


Working on domain 4 ...
Comparing all fitted models ...
WAIC & LOOIC ------------------
          elpd_diff elpd_waic se_elpd_waic p_waic se_p_waic waic   se_waic
quad.bn      0.0     140.7      10.1         27.6    3.9    -281.4   20.3 
linear.bn   -1.3     139.4      11.7         21.8    4.0    -278.8   23.3 
quad.nn     -2.2     138.5      10.0         27.0    3.7    -277.0   20.0 
linear.nn   -2.8     137.9      11.3         20.9    3.3    -275.8   22.5 
          elpd_diff elpd_loo se_elpd_loo p_loo  se_p_loo looic  se_looic
linear.bn    0.0     138.4     11.9        22.7    4.3   -276.8   23.9  
quad.bn     -0.1     138.3     10.5        30.0    4.4   -276.7   21.0  
linear.nn   -1.4     137.0     11.4        21.7    3.4   -274.1   22.8  
quad.nn     -2.1     136.3     10.3        29.3    4.1   -272.5   20.7  
There were 50 or more warnings (use warnings() to see the first 50)


Working on domain 1 ------------------
Setting up the data ...
Extracting Posterior Samples ...
Generating Trend Data ...
Plotting posterior predictive distribution ...


Working on domain 2 ------------------
Setting up the data ...
Extracting Posterior Samples ...
Generating Trend Data ...
Plotting posterior predictive distribution ...


Working on domain 3 ------------------
Setting up the data ...
Extracting Posterior Samples ...
Generating Trend Data ...
Plotting posterior predictive distribution ...


Working on domain 4 ------------------
Setting up the data ...
Extracting Posterior Samples ...
Generating Trend Data ...
Plotting posterior predictive distribution ...


Summarizing Convergence Statistics --------------------

Summary of Diagnostics :
     domain  min.neff mean.neff max.rhat n.div max.depth
[1,]      1  808.1181  5891.082 1.011630     0         7
[2,]      2  319.9368  3974.643 1.017140     0         8
[3,]      3  315.3365  5905.589 1.020364     0         8
[4,]      4 1638.5415  5700.134 1.006547     0         8
Generating LaTex Table of Model Coefficients ...


 Start Plotting Results ------------------------
Plotting Linear Trends ...
Plotting Non-linear Trends ...
Creating Directory ~/appendix/ into /scratch/bp1094/secular_rep/


Refitting Econ Model (Appendix) ...

Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
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Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
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Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
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Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
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Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
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Rejecting initial value:
  Error evaluating the log probability at the initial value.
Exception: beta_lpdf: Second shape parameter[1] is 0, but must be > 0!  (in 'model4ba779172887_Beta_Normal' at line 63)


Gradient evaluation took 0 seconds
1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0 seconds.
Adjust your expectations accordingly!



 Elapsed Time: 364.71 seconds (Warm-up)
               136.99 seconds (Sampling)
               501.7 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 396.42 seconds (Warm-up)
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               668.92 seconds (Total)


 Elapsed Time: 426.04 seconds (Warm-up)
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 Elapsed Time: 442.31 seconds (Warm-up)
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 Elapsed Time: 368.18 seconds (Warm-up)
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 Elapsed Time: 464.54 seconds (Warm-up)
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Plotting raw coefficients ...
Plotting aggregate trends ...

List of Defined Functions :

gen.summary
drop.empty.facets
gen.stan.summary
gen.agg.trends
inv.logit
gen.posti
gen.se.lincom

(stored in object fun.names)
           Domain Rep. - Dem.
1:       Economic  0.14430578
2:   Civil Rights  0.10027820
3:          Moral  0.05787680
4: Foreign Policy  0.06770241
           Domain Post. Prob.
1:       Economic   0.9443333
2:   Civil Rights   0.9323333
3:          Moral   0.0000000
4: Foreign Policy   0.3158333
           Domain Post. Prob.
1:       Economic  0.05566667
2:   Civil Rights  0.06766667
3:          Moral  1.00000000
4: Foreign Policy  0.68416667
           Domain Post. Prob.
1:       Economic   0.7986667
2:   Civil Rights   0.9950000
3:          Moral   1.0000000
4: Foreign Policy   0.7971667
           Domain Post. Prob
1:       Economic  0.6190000
2:   Civil Rights  0.6328333
3:          Moral  0.9998333
4: Foreign Policy  0.7028333
R version 3.4.2 (2017-09-28)
Platform: x86_64-centos-linux-gnu (64-bit)
Running under: CentOS Linux 7 (Core)

Matrix products: default
BLAS/LAPACK: /share/apps/intel/17.0.1/compilers_and_libraries_2017.1.132/linux/mkl/lib/intel64_lin/libmkl_rt.so

locale:
 [1] LC_CTYPE=en_US.UTF-8          LC_NUMERIC=C                 
 [3] LC_TIME=en_US.UTF-8           LC_COLLATE=en_US.UTF-8       
 [5] LC_MONETARY=en_US.UTF-8       LC_MESSAGES=en_US.UTF-8      
 [7] LC_PAPER=en_US.UTF-8          LC_NAME=en_US.UTF-8          
 [9] LC_ADDRESS=en_US.UTF-8        LC_TELEPHONE=en_US.UTF-8     
[11] LC_MEASUREMENT=en_US.UTF-8    LC_IDENTIFICATION=en_US.UTF-8

attached base packages:
[1] parallel  methods   grid      stats     graphics  grDevices utils    
[8] datasets  base     

other attached packages:
 [1] doParallel_1.0.11  iterators_1.0.9    foreach_1.4.4      xlsx_0.6.1        
 [5] gridExtra_2.3      xtable_1.8-2       cowplot_0.9.2      survey_3.33-2     
 [9] survival_2.42-4    Matrix_1.2-14      car_3.0-0          carData_3.0-1     
[13] loo_2.0.0          rstan_2.17.3       StanHeaders_2.17.2 ggplot2_3.0.0     
[17] dtplyr_0.0.2       data.table_1.10.5  dplyr_0.7.6       

loaded via a namespace (and not attached):
 [1] tidyselect_0.2.4   reshape2_1.4.3     purrr_0.2.5        splines_3.4.2     
 [5] rJava_0.9-9        haven_1.1.2        lattice_0.20-35    colorspace_1.3-2  
 [9] stats4_3.4.2       rlang_0.2.1        pillar_1.2.3       foreign_0.8-70    
[13] glue_1.2.0         withr_2.1.2        readxl_1.0.0       bindrcpp_0.2.2    
[17] matrixStats_0.54.0 bindr_0.1.1        plyr_1.8.4         stringr_1.3.1     
[21] munsell_0.5.0      gtable_0.2.0       cellranger_1.1.0   zip_1.0.0         
[25] codetools_0.2-15   labeling_0.3       inline_0.3.15      rio_0.5.10        
[29] forcats_0.3.0      curl_3.2           xlsxjars_0.6.1     Rcpp_0.12.17      
[33] scales_0.5.0       abind_1.4-5        digest_0.6.15      hms_0.4.2         
[37] stringi_1.2.3      openxlsx_4.1.0     tools_3.4.2        magrittr_1.5      
[41] lazyeval_0.2.1     tibble_1.4.2       pkgconfig_2.0.1    assertthat_0.2.0  
[45] R6_2.2.2           compiler_3.4.2    
